of the 19 tokens in this site's retired archive had fallen below $5,000 of liquidity when last measured — effectively untradeable.
Those 19 tokens were written about 64 times. Counted per page rather than per token, 79% of the retired archive is about a token that is now untradeable — the same corpus, answering “how much of what we published has since died” instead of “how many of the tokens we picked died”.
Every token covered here is re-measured on a fifteen-minute cycle for as long as the article stays up. This page reports what those measurements found. It is rebuilt on every run, so it is never older than the last pass.
Untradeable means the token's liquidity pool has fallen below $5,000. A token can be below that floor and still quoted at a price; what it cannot be is sold in any meaningful size.
The band each token scored at publication, against what became of it. This is the test of whether the risk model is measuring anything real.
| Risk band at publication | Covered | Untradeable | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Severe | 24 | 18 | 75% |
| High | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Elevated | 496 | 167 | 34% |
| Moderate | 300 | 41 | 14% |
| Low | 23 | 0 | 0% |
A token can be covered more than once, so these are two different questions and the answers differ. Per token asks how many of the tokens this site picked have since died — the test of the selection. Per article asks how much of what was published is about a token that has since died — what a reader opening an old page actually meets.
| Counted | Covered | Outcome measured | Untradeable | Rate | Median change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per token | 862 | 862 | 237 | 27% | -72.3% |
| Per article | 1474 | 1470 | 446 | 30% | -54.9% |
A running measurement answers "is this token still alive?". It cannot answer "how many of the tokens we covered were dead within a week?", because that needs every article measured at the same age. These are those measurements.
| Checkpoint | Recorded | Untradeable | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 552 | 151 | 27% |
A token falling below the floor is not proof the coverage was wrong, and a token surviving is not proof it was right. This site reports on unusually volatile tokens, and most such tokens fail regardless of what is written about them. What the table above tests is narrower and more useful: whether the tokens the model scored as riskier failed more often than the ones it did not.
Figures are computed from the site's own archive. Method and thresholds are on the about page.